فریدون رهنمای رودپشتی

Price return and P/E are two interesting factors for a lot of investors; The Bohmian quantum mechanics used referring to the time correlation of return and P/E of the stock market under consideration. In this study, we extend the quantum potential concept to determine the behaviour of P/E and also price return in two different industry of Tehran stock market during a time interval of April. 2008 to march 2019. The obtained results show that the quantum potential behaves in the same manner for P/E and price return, also confines the variations of the P/E and price return into a specific domain. Furthermore, a joint quantum potential as a function of return and P/E is derived by the probability distribution function (PDF) constructed by the real data of a given market. It serves as a suitable instrument to investigate the relationship between these variables. The resultant PDF and the corresponding joint quantum potential illustrate that where we have light points in joint quantum potential chart, the probability of those amount of P/E and price return are more than other points. In addition, because of the rectangular shape of the joint quantum potential chart we can say that these two variables behave as two independent variables in the Market.

Iran allocated 6% of the world's natural disaster fatality, while the country only has one percent of the world's population. More than 40 natural disasters have been recognized globally. According to the evaluations carried out in Iran, at least 31 natural disasters have occurred locally. Domestic insurance capacity does not cover this volume of risk and the need for external reinsurance capacity is always felt. Catastrophe bonds structure as a financial innovative solution allows an issuing institution to transfer catastrophic exposures and risk to capital market’s investors by creating capital relief and additional risk capacity for Iran’s insurance industry. We adjusted formal cat bonds structure with the Islamic jurisprudence, as well as domestic regulations consideration. According to the research and interviews conducted and using thematic analysis research method, we finally suggested that the catastrophe bond instrument in Iran could be issued in the form of "insurance Sukuk" contract template, as a solution for transferring catastrophic risks to the Iranian capital market. Since this proposed structure have many aspects, the comprehensive implementation of it depends on cooperation between money market, capital market and insurance industry.

Competency management and development are vital tools to increase competition in organizations and the goal of the competency-based approach is to "determine the competencies needed by top people in key positions across the organization, efforts to close competency gaps through effective selection and training and ensuring that good performance is recognized and rewarded." Now, considering the increasing role of state banks as the most important financial and economic institution in the construction of the country, the present study seeks to provide an intellectual capital model with a competency approach of managers in state banks and intends to enumerate the dimensions of the main and important competencies of the managers of state- banks to help senior executives of state banks identify the right people, with the advent of the information technology revolution, the global economic paradigm changed dramatically after the 1990s. In today's economy, knowledge, as the most important asset, has replaced financial and physical capital. Intellectual assets are non-competitive assets. Unlike physical assets that can only be used to do a particular task at a particular time, intellectual assets can be used simultaneously for several specific purposes. This ability is one of the most important criteria for the superiority of intellectual assets over physical assets. This research seeks to provide an intellectual capital model with a competency approach of managers in state banks. Based on the findings, intellectual capital can be influenced by the factors of customer capital, social capital, structural and human capital, knowledge capital, foreign capital, domestic capital, spiritual capital, technical capital and communication capital. The components and indicators related to each of the mentioned dimensions have been discussed separately in the previous pages. Based on in-depth semi-structured interviews with experts, it can be concluded that: human capital, structural capital and social capital as the first to third priorities are the dimensions of the intellectual capital model of state-owned banks with the competency approach of managers.

This paper examines the credit risk in the Iranian banks during 2008 to 2018 through the Z-score (Accounting based data) and the KMV-Merton (Market based information) models. In the Merton model, equity is equal to call option on underlying value of the bank’s asset. The market value of assets is estimated by share price. The value of assets is then compared to the value of liabilities. Therefore, default when occurs that the market value of assets is less than the book value of debts. so, value of equity becomes negative. In the Z-score model, Return on Assets and Equity to Assets as the numerator and standard deviation of ROA as the denominator are applied. If the mentioned ratios of numerator increase and the denominator decrease, the probability of default decline. As well as, Independent variables are divided into five groups: leverage, management efficiency, profitability quality, financial health, and liquidity. As a result, capital adequacy and profitability have a greater impact on both models. Also, the ANOVA table proves the validity of two models. The value of ROC test in both models is above average (0.5) which are efficient and their efficiency is 99.48% and 92.68%, respectively. Also, in terms of Voung’s test, the KMV is more efficient than the Z-score.